Prediction of Ryan Fishback vs Victor Braga at M15 Lima 12-03-25

• How does Ryan Fishback's second serve performance compare to Victor Braga's? Fishback has been more effective, winning 41.49% of these points compared to Braga's 35.06% over the last six months.
• When facing second serves, both players excel, with Braga winning slightly more at 49.66% compared to Fishback's 48.36%. However, Fishback has a slight edge on first serve returns at 33.07%, against Braga’s 31.14%.
• Under pressure, Fishback excels at saving breakpoints, with a success rate of 49.80%, just edging out Braga's 48.82%.
• In terms of recent match performance, Fishback has the better win rate over the past year, securing 50.91% of his matches, while Braga's rate sits lower at 38.46%.
• Which surfaces do they favor? Fishback performs best on indoor hard courts with a 65% win rate, whereas Braga thrives on clay with the same win percentage.
• Both players typically compete in Futures/ITF $10K tournaments. Fishback wins 52% of these matches, surpassing Braga's 41.67% success rate.
• Fishback has faced opponents with a lower average ranking (457.25) compared to Braga's tougher competition with an average ranking of 80.62 over the last year.
• In deciding sets, Fishback is considerably stronger, winning 48% of these, while Braga only manages to win 20%.
• Fishback converts breakpoints at 36.98%, slightly higher than Braga who converts at 35.14%.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent form and statistical performances, Ryan Fishback seems to hold a consistent edge over Victor Braga. Fishback's second serve and breakpoint-saving capabilities provide him with a solid foundation in matches.

Although Braga has faced more highly ranked opponents, this hasn't translated into a higher win percentage. Fishback, on the other hand, demonstrates resilience in pressure situations, particularly in deciding sets.

When examining their strengths on different surfaces, it's clear that surface preferences play a role, but the current event surface is more favorable to Fishback’s strengths.

Considering these factors, Ryan Fishback is the favored player in this upcoming match. His overall performance statistics and proven track record in critical match conditions position him as the likely winner.